Texas Tech professors have developed a model for predicting the spread of COVID-19.
"It's depressing and we are talking about a lot of deaths," Fazle Hussain, Texas Tech's Distinguished Chair in Engineering, Science and Medicine said.
The research involved six states: California, Louisiana, New Jersey, New York, Washington and Texas. The mathematic model shows if lockdown compliance was maintained it wouldn't have been helped in most of them.
"The epidemic would not have gone away in most of the states we looked at. It would've gone away in New York due to the strictness of measures people adhere to," Research Assistant Professor Zeina Khan said.
Based on the study, lockdown compliance was weak in Texas, including Lubbock.
"There's an app that shows you how many people are staying home in each county based on cell phone data. Only 25%, slightly less than that of Lubbock was staying home," Khan said.
Other components from the research included face masks, social distancing, contact tracing and isolation. It concludes by October 1st there could be as many as three million COVID-19 cases and 235,000 deaths in the US alone.