Severe storms moving across South Plains - FOX34 Lubbock

Severe storms moving across South Plains

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update 8:42 p.m. - Severe thunderstorm warning for a storm near Ropesville. The warning includes parts of the city of Lubbock. 1" hail and 60mph wind are possible.

Also, FM 669 south of Post is flooded from the torrential downpours.

Here are a couple photos of the tornado earlier. This perspective is from north of Gail, of the storm on the Garza-Borden County line. Photos from Camden Lowe. 





update 7:45 p.m. - The storm that produced a tornado or tornadoes at different times in SW Garza Count is now a prolific rain producer, likely still with some hail. More than 6.5" of rain has been recorded at the Tech Mesonet site near Graham, SW of Post. A flash flood warning continues for Garza county for significant flash flooding.

Elsewhere there are some severe warnings for 1" hail and 60mph wind. Overall the severe threat is trending lower than we had a few hours ago. But still need to pay attention to any storms moving your way.

update 6:12 p.m. - A storm has produced a tornado at multiple times over the past hour over SW Garza County and NW Borden County. This storm has also produced very large hail.

Around Lubbock we have a less intense storm, but scattered severe storms nonetheless. Much of the area has about 1" to 1.5" hail, much larger hail with the storm in SW Garza/NW Borden counties.

update 4:51 p.m. - A severe thunderstorm warning has been issued for Lubbock and Lubbock County. Storms are rapidly developing near Slaton and expanding to the northwest. This warning is for around 1.5" hail and 60mph wind. A more intense storm is in SW Garza County. It produced around 2" hail near Mesquite.

update 4:23 p.m. - We've got a few severe storms with risks of 1.5" hail and 60mph wind. We expect the number of storms to increase next few hours. Storms are moving from SW to NE.

update 3:22 p.m. - A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 10 p.m. for Lubbock and much of the area, counties in green below:

Storms today will be capable of producing large hail and damaging wind, with the strongest storms producing hail of 2" to 3" in diameter and gusts over 70mph. A tornado or two is also possible.

posted 12:11 p.m. - There is the potential for severe storms both today and tomorrow. Have multiple ways to get warnings to know what's going on. At mid-day the Storm Prediction Center outlook shows much of the area has the potential for a severe storm (green) with the potential a little higher in yellow (level 2 out of 5). 

I discussed this some Wednesday night...don't think that just because we aren't in a level 5 out of 5 that the weather won't be impactful. A factor in that is that rarely do we have severe weather in our area that affects every location. Usually severe storms are fairly isolated. Wednesday we had massive hail in Lubbock, but nearly all of the rest of the area got either no rain or had much smaller hail. Same idea today...we don't know exactly where storms will be, but the most intense ones will mean business.

The dry line is starting to sharpen over the western South Plains. It will mix east next couple hours. To its east is where the humidity and heat will be in place for strong surface instability. The map below updates every few minutes. Dew points in the 60s show ample humidity.

So it's wait-and-see right now...for where the dry line will be positioned. Once it heats up to the upper 80s to lower 90s we should see storm development. An upper-level disturbance should move overhead around this afternoon, which would also help get storms going.

A few showers or storms could develop soon, with the more robust storms going up between 3 and 5 p.m., spreading east into the evening. 

Severe warnings are issued for hail of 1" diameter and 60mph wind. This can be expected with storms that develop today. But storms that are able to fully utilize the strong instability will be capable of producing 2"- to 3"-diameter hail (or larger) and 60 to 80mph wind. We saw some of this Wednesday. Also, one or two tornadoes will be possible, though this likelihood is lower than the hail and wind.

Looking ahead to tomorrow, more severe storms are possible.

 Check back here for updates through the day. We'll also be on TV and radio as needed. Hope you're having a good weekend.

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