Here is current FOX34 VIPIR:
update 10:05 p.m. - So many showers and storms popped up this afternoon the congealed pretty quickly and we didn't see a lot of severe reports once that happened. The storms were slow movers over the Rolling Plains.
Lubbock didn't get much rain, most of it stayed just south by a few miles. Here are some of the top totals in our area from the Texas Tech Mesonet:
Lake Alan Henry 1.01"
White River Lake 0.36"
New Home 0.31"
There are still a few isolated storms in northeast New Mexico spreading east. While it's not a great chance, we'll wait to see if a few of these can make it near the state line.
update 4:44 p.m. - Scattered severe storms over the southern part of our area are producing very heavy rain, likely some flooding. Each storm could produce 1" hail, though some storms have produced hail then become wind producers. Also, storms near Tahoka have kicked out an outflow boundary, helping develop a storm near Ropesville. It's also pushing a wall of dirt into south Lubbock, which is expected to continue moving north next half hour.
update 3:47 p.m. - We have scattered severe storms over the southern South Plains. These are all moving to the NNE. Each warned storm could produce 1" hail and 60mph wind, though the more intense cores could do a little more than that. There is still humidity here in Lubbock, so storms now close to Seminole could get here in a couple of hours, while the storms from Lamesa to Post will probably move up toward Ralls and Dickens.
A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect until 10 p.m. for Lubbock and roughly the southeastern half of our area. Scattered storms will bring the risk of large hail and damaging wind. The watch includes areas in green below:
Storms will be capable of producing 60mph gusts and hail of 1" to 2" diameter. Some isolated gusts to 80mph will be possible, along with isolated larger hail reports.
Humidity is in place over roughly the eastern half of the South Plains, although it's not a terribly sharp dry line. There is also a front edging in from the north. While most times in the spring if we had both a front and dry line in play it would really organize the lower levels, today the amount of shear appears fairly limited. This isn't to say we won't see severe storms. With a lot of energy and some shear, it will probably lead to storms that produce large hail for a while then produce gusty wind. The map below shows some humidity with dew point in the 50s (enough for severe storms today), with the muggy air and greater energy where the dew point is in the 60s.
Storms will move from SW to NE. They may congeal into a big complex of storms as they spread farther east this evening.
TONIGHT: Once the storms clear it'll be partly cloudy, low in the morning near 58. We'll probably have some low clouds and maybe fog to start Saturday.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny and a little cooler for the afternoon, high near 84. Wind NE/SE 5-12mph. There is a slight chance for some storms to move in from the Panhandle. This means a slight chance for storms in our area Saturday night.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny, high 83. Can't rule out an isolated shower or storm, but the rain chance is low.
NEXT WEEK: Humidity will build back into the region, but we probably don't have lift for storms until mid-week. Even then, the storm chance isn't great. But this is mid to late May, so a lot can change day to day.
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