Isolated storms possible today, storms more likely tomorrow - FOX34 Lubbock

Isolated storms possible today, storms more likely tomorrow

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Here is current FOX34 VIPIR:

Interactive Radar

THIS AFTERNOON: There is a front stalled out from northwest to southeast across the middle of our area. In Lubbock it's reached the 60s, with 50s northeast of the city. Just about 15 miles away it's reached the 70s at Smyer and Wolfforth, with 80s as close as Brownfield. Here is the current temperature map:

It's southwest of that boundary where we're watching for potential storm development. Cumulus clouds have increased over the southwestern South Plains into SE New Mexico.

While we don't expect many storms, if a few can develop, they could produce up to golf ball-size hail and 60mph wind gusts, if they can form. Again, this is mainly to the west and south of Lubbock. Storms will move from west to east, and will likely weaken as they move farther east. 

TONIGHT: Becoming cloudy, likely some areas of fog and possibly drizzle in the morning. Low near 59. Wind SE/S 10-16mph.

TOMORROW: Some sun mid-day, with clouds increasing through the afternoon. High near 89, breezy S/SW wind 12-22mph.

There is a chance for thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon and evening across roughly the eastern half of the area. It'll depend on where the dry line is set up by early to mid afternoon. We think it'll be either near I-27/U.S. 87 or just east. This will keep Lubbock in play, with a chance for a thunderstorm. This is one of the days where we'll watch the dew point through the day. If it drops to the 30s at your location, the dry line is east of you. If you have the 50s and 60s, there is humidity for the storm potential. The chance for rain and storms is more likely to the east, including Matador, White River Lake, Post and locations east.

This is the severe outlook for tomorrow, showing a low potential in green, a little bit greater (2 out of 5 levels) in yellow. It's more likely (level 3 out of 5) severe weather will happen in the orange area. This doesn't mean if you're in the highlighted areas you will get severe weather, but that it's a possibility.

Where storms develop tomorrow there is a good chance they will turn severe. Main concerns will be large hail and damaging wind. As storms move farther east it should transition to mainly wind. An isolated tornado is possible in the region, though right now it looks like wind shear will be low enough to limit that concern some.

LOOKING AHEAD: A dry, sunny and hot day is expected Thursday. We may have humidity in place for a few storms late Friday, though the cap may hold. We're showing just a low chance for a storm then. And Saturday the storms may all wind up east of our area, but we're holding onto a slight chance for storms that day.

We can't rule out a storm early next week, but there are stronger signals of thunderstorms around Wed-Thu of next week.

Have a great rest of your day. Bobby will have a full update posted here early tomorrow.
-Matt

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