update 10:08 p.m. - So far it's been rain around Lubbock, with it a couple degrees cooler west and northwest of the city. Snow has been reported around Friona and Tulia. We expect the rain continuing through early morning. It's been 33 last couple hours in the city. It may drop a degree or two, so watch out for some minor icing on bridges. But it still looks like this is mainly rain for the city.
It's going to be wet and cold across our area late today into early Thanksgiving. The tricky part of the forecast is where it'll be cold enough for some freezing rain, sleet and snow. Here is FOX34 VIPIR and the current temperature:
The National Weather Service has issued a winter weather advisory for Lubbock and locations to the west and north, in white below.
The winter weather advisory runs from 6 p.m. Wednesday through Noon Thursday.
Click here - for updated travel information and highway cams.
Clouds increased mid-day, with the temperature holding around 40 from Noon to 5 p.m. Now that showers have moved in from the south, the temperature has steadily dropped. Another critical number is the dew point, in the teens to low 20s. That means the air is dry. Because the air near the ground is dry, the initial showers will help to cool the air, dropping it to around freezing. This wouldn't be the case if the dew point was at 35. The lower it is, the drier the air is, and the more room there is for the temperature to drop.
Showers are moving from south to north early this evening. Showers will continue moving across the area tonight through early morning. Later this evening into tonight is when some of the showers will likely turn to freezing rain (falls as liquid, but starts to ice on some surfaces) and/or snow. Lubbock is included in the advisory because we may get some icing on at least bridges, and possibly could have some sleet here. But it's not a certainty. We expect the temperature to drop to around 31 in Lubbock. A difference of a couple degrees, obviously, means the difference between rain and mixed precip.
Snow is more likely to the northwest, including Muleshoe, Springlake, Dimmitt and Friona. In these communities it'll drop around 26-28 degrees in the morning. Rain is expected, without ice or snow, to the east of Lubbock, off of the Caprock.
The wintry precip will end by early Thanksgiving morning. And the temperature should climb above freezing by Noon. We don't expect heavy amounts of wintry preicp around Lubbock, so travel should be pretty good...just need to slow down. But don't be surprised if there are some icy bridges. Travel farther to the northwest, across much of New Mexico, will be more difficult. Heavier snow is expected up there.
A winter weather advisory is issued for the potential/likelihood of some wintry precip that could slow down travel. The more significant winter storm warning is issued for heavier amounts that will greatly slow down or potentially shut down travel. It's the advisory that's been issued for our area. A winter storm warning runs from Portales and Clovis to Albuquerque and Santa Fe. Travel will be difficult along I-40 in Eastern New Mexico and I-25 north of Albuquerque. There will also be heavy snow around Ruidoso. Beautiful if you're already there; but I wouldn't try getting into town or that part of Lincoln County on Thanksgiving.
LOOKING AHEAD: There is a slight chance for rain Thanksgiving afternoon, high near 40. It'll be warmer and windy Friday, slight chance for rain. More wind is expected on Saturday. The weekend will be sunny. Next week warmer.
TEXAS TECH: Rain is likely in Austin tomorrow and on Friday. Kickoff for the Red Raiders and Longhorns will be in the upper 60s, climbing into the 70s during the game. It'll likely rain for at least part of the game. There is a slight chance for lightning during the game. Wind SE 5-12mph.
Have a great rest of your day and a very happy Thanksgiving. We'll have the latest update tonight on FOX34 News at Nine. And Bobby will have a new forecast posted here in the morning.