THIS AFTERNOON: It's been a sunny day, slightly cooler than yesterday, with 60s across the area. Big changes are not far away. We're watching an upper-level disturbance over the SW United States, headed this way. It'll bring lots of rain.
TONIGHT: Clouds increasing, not too cold because it'll be getting more humid. Low 49. Fog is possible.
WET WEATHER: Some rain may already move into the area by early morning. Cloudy, high in the mid 60s. Showers and storms will likely be in the area through the day, with storms becoming more numerous during the evening. Some storms will produce heavy rain. Also, small hail and gusty wind is possible. Wind S 5-15mph.
Showers and storms should continue into early Thursday morning, with the rain gradually diminishing through the day.
A strong cold front will move across the area Thursday, bringing a gusty north wind 20-30mph. The temperature will fall from the 40s in the morning down into the 30s by late afternoon. It looks like the rain will end before the coldest air moves into the area, so we aren't expecting wintry precipitation at this point. There probably will be some mixed wintry precip up north, around Amarillo.
By Friday morning the low here will be near 30. With all the rain that fell, there could be some icy bridges Friday morning. But 30 degrees makes it less certain than if we were expecting the temp in the low-mid 20s.
HOW MUCH RAIN?: With a pretty wide window for rain from tomorrow morning through Thursday afternoon, and with very high levels of humidity available, we'll likely have impressive totals for November. Many locations should pick up at least 1/2" of rain, with some totals well over 1" possible. Heaviest amounts should be southeast of Lubbock, over the Rolling Plains; lowest amounts to the northwest of Lubbock.
No, this is definitely not what's needed for anyone harvesting.
WEEKEND: More sun is expected both Saturday and Sunday, with the temperature near 70 Saturday.
Have a great rest of your day. Bobby will have a full update to the forecast here early tomorrow.