UPDATED: Storms possible SE tonight, gusty weekend ahead

UPDATED: Storms possible SE tonight, gusty weekend ahead

Posted: Updated:

updated 9:58 p.m. - The dry line is slowly retreating westward. Over the last hour the dew point climbed about 30 degrees at Tahoka, meaning humidity is slowly returning westward. But just because there's humidity doesn't mean there will be storms. There is a chance for a few showers or storms generally southeast of Lubbock next few hours.

A little after 8 a shower developed near Lamesa, then fell apart. Not long later another shower developed, even produced a few lightning strikes, then it fell apart southeast of Tahoka. So we'll keep an eye on the radar for at least a few storms through early morning.


TRACKING THE DRY LINE: The dry line has mixed east of Lubbock. It's the division between dry air to the west and humid air to the east. Upper 50s and 60s below show the better humidity.

It's in the warm, humid air where storms are possible. But it's not the only factor at play. We've had a cap aloft, which has kept storms from developing here. Storms have managed to get going farther south, in the Permian Basin. Here is the current radar:

TONIGHT: The dry line will retreat west some. We'll keep a chance for thunderstorms generally southeast of Lubbock late tonight into early Saturday morning. We can't rule out an isolated storm as far west as Lubbock, but it mainly looks like storms will be to the southeast.

While we don't expect a lot of storms, where they develop, they'll likely turn severe. It's more likely storms will be severe down around Abilene and the Permian Basin.

WEEKEND: It'll be windy tomorrow, high in the mid 80s. West wind 18-30mph.

Sunday will be a little warmer, with a gusty south wind. Humidity will return to the area by Sunday night.

NEXT WEEK: We have a chance for storms Monday. In fact, it'll likely be late Sunday night into Monday. These may be severe, even though it'll probably be early in the day. Storms will probably spread east over the Rolling Plains by the afternoon. It looks like a pretty good set-up for rain across much of our area.

Tuesday and Wednesday should be dry and windy before humidity returns for a slight chance for storms Thursday and Friday.

Have a great weekend. Robert will have an updated forecast here Saturday afternoon.
-Matt

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