Snow likely late Wednesday into Thursday - FOX34 Lubbock

Snow likely late Wednesday into Thursday

Posted: Updated:
LUBBOCK, Texas -

We have some fairly significant changes to the forecast. It now looks more likely that we'll have accumulating snow late Wednesday into Thursday.

THIS AFTERNOON: It's cold and cloudy, temperature in the 20s. The wind chill has finally climbed into the teens, after spending much of the morning in the single digits. We've had some flurries blowing around. This will probably continue into this evening.

TONIGHT: Low near 18, mostly cloudy with flurries. Wind N/NE 5mph. There is a low chance for a little freezing drizzle.

COLD SETUP: Cloudy and cold. Some freezing drizzle or light snow is possible during the morning into the afternoon. High temp near 31, wind NE/N 5-10mph.

Then snow is likely tomorrow evening through early Thursday afternoon. It's a pretty significant shift in the computer guidance...but it looks like computers are moving to match what's happening with this storm system out west. That said, one of the newest computers running this afternoon has shifted the snow farther away to the east...making this a tough forecast.

Now it looks like the temperature will only reach the mid 30s Thursday.

Different from what's usually the case here, less snow is expected to the west and northwest. Greatest potential for heavy snow is to the east of Lubbock. This is what our projection is right now:

snow projection

I expect changes to the above map by tomorrow morning. We're probably going to wind up with a pretty sharp gradient from no snow to the west to some locations of 4" to maybe 6" of snow. The snow we got in mid-December in Lubbock was similar, where the heaviest fell in the city and it was quite a bit less in nearly every direction.

An early projection for Lubbock has an inch or two. Right now we're right in the middle of where no little snow will fall to the west and heavier snow to the east. Most of the snow should fall the first half of Thursday.

The National Weather Service has issued a winter storm watch, in blue below, for the potential of 4" or more of snow. Being in the watch doesn't mean you will get 4", but it's at least a possibility. That potential is lower on the western side of the watch. There is a lot of uncertainty with where the greater amounts will fall. 

winter storm watch

The watch is to give advance notice of possibly 4" or more of snow. By tomorrow, as we're getting closer to snow, these areas will likely go under a winter weather advisory or winter storm warning. The warning is for 4" snow potential happening soon or ongoing, advisory is for lesser snow amounts.

Rest of the forecast turns milder, back in the 50s this weekend. There might be a little bit of rain early next week.

7-day forecast

Stay tuned to the forecast here as well as on FOX34. I'll have the latest information on the News at Nine. Bobby will have new data here tomorrow morning. Stay warm and Happy New Year.


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