THIS EVENING: Cloudy and cool, temperature in the 60s dropping into the 50s by 10 p.m. Some rain is possible at football games, but not the widespread thunderstorms that we had last week. Here is current radar:
RAINY WEATHER AHEAD: The remnants of what was Hurricane Sergio in the Pacific will move across the region, bringing heavy rain at times late tonight through early Saturday. Low temp in the mid 50s. NE wind will kick up early Saturday 15-20mph, gradually diminishing through the day.
Coverage of rain should gradually fade from west to east through the day Saturday. The rain chance is lower after Noon. Common rain totals of 1/2" to 1" are expected, with some locations in our area getting more than 2" of rain. Brief flooding problems are a possibility.
Saturday afternoon we may actually see a little sun, high in the mid 60s.
STRONG FRONT: A cold front will move across the Panhandle Sunday morning, expected to move through our area Sunday afternoon. Sunday morning low near 52, high temp in Lubbock 60. But that should happen late morning/early afternoon.
The front will kick up the north wind 20-30mph with higher gusts. The temperature will fall quickly, winding up in the 40s by late Sunday afternoon. The wind chill will be even lower.
We're forecasting a freeze for areas northwest of Lubbock Monday morning:
Monday afternoon the temp will only make the 40s. By Tuesday morning we're forecasting a freeze down to Lubbock:
We're still a few days out, so we may adjust the freeze outlooks either farther north or south. Of course, most of the year, a difference of three degrees a few days out isn't a big deal. It is tricky when trying to give ample heads up on a freeze. Tuesday looks a little more likely for a freeze since the sky will be clearer then. The average first freeze for Lubbock is Halloween.
Also, there's a slight chance for light showers on Monday. This could be a light rain/snow mix farther northwest, near Muleshoe and Dimmitt, Monday morning. But amounts will be real light. It's more likely to see some light wintry precipitation farther north, along and north of I-40.
Next week will stay cold. Average high this time of year is in the mid 70s.
Have a great weekend. Robert will have a full update posted here Saturday.