12:03 a.m. Sunday - A few severe storms continue to the south and southeast of Lubbock, with large hail. And now we're watching strong to severe storms moving in from NE New Mexico and the western Panhandle. With this next round of storms some may turn severe with hail and wind. Eventually everything will clear out during the day Sunday. For now, expect some more storms through Sunday morning.
9:52 p.m. - Large hail fell across much of Lubbock tonight, many reports of golf ball-size hail, some larger than baseballs. We're not done with the storms, either. We have multiple severe warnings right now and expect large hail from most of the storms that develop.
7:55 p.m. - New severe warning for potential of up to golf ball-sized hail in S & SE Lubbock County. The warning comes up to the South Loop & I-27. Storm is moving NE.
6:58 p.m. - Severe warning for a storm that's rapidly developed east of Lubbock. It produced 1" hail around Slaton and now may be producing larger than golf ball-size hail over Ransom Canyon, moving north at 20mph. More storms are scattered to the east...with more severe storms expected next few hours.
3:39 p.m. - A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for parts of the Rolling Plains, counties in green below. In and near the watch storms will be capable of producing large hail and damaging wind. There is a strengthening storm right now in E Floyd County, moving NE.
12:39 p.m. - Update to the forecast: there is now a better chance for storms in our area this afternoon and evening than we thought yesterday. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted roughly the eastern half of our area with the risk for severe storms, greatest in the orange below:
Storms will have the potential to quickly become severe today, with a few storms producing baseball-size hail, gusts to 80mph and a tornado. Understand it won't be all storms that get this intense, and not all of our area will get a storm.
A few storms have developed to the northeast of Lubbock around Noon, in the SE Panhandle. These will move NE.
TIMING: We expect the storms northeast of Lubbock to continue through early to mid afternoon. Then, after about 4 p.m., storms may develop farther west, closer to Lubbock...then move off to the east. We don't yet know if storms will develop just west or just east of Lubbock. It depends on where the dry line will be during that time. East of the dry line is where the humidity will be for storm development.
Late afternoon into this evening is when there's a more pronounced severe risk over the Rolling Plains (areas east of Lubbock). All of this is round one.
Round two is expected as a front makes a stronger push across our area, with storms developing late tonight through early Sunday morning. There could also be some severe storms during this late night/early morning time frame.
SEVERE RISKS: Many storms will be able to produce 1" hail and 60mph gusts, with a few storms producing around baseball-size hail and 80mph gusts. A few tornadoes will also be possible.
Check back here for updates through the afternoon and evening.